Research / Rent vs. buy / Arizona / Surprise

Rent or buy in Surprise?
Renting is $867 a month cheaper.

Renting the typical home in Surprise costs $867 less a month than owning it. Counting equity, price growth and what a renter could earn by investing the difference, buying comes out ahead in year 13.

Updated September 26, 2026 · Zillow data for August 2026 · 7.03% mortgage rate (Freddie Mac, September 24, 2026) · Rank 112 of 340 (1 = owning closest to renting) · Part of our 2026 rent vs. buy study

Monthly cost to own$2,814typical home, 20% down
Typical monthly rent$1,947Zillow, August 2026
Buying breaks evenYear 133.5% price growth
Cash needed to buy$95,679$415,995 home · 20% down + 3% closing
Income needed to own$112,549vs. $77,880 to rent · 30% rule

Where the monthly money goes.

The first-month cost of owning the typical Surprise home, split into its parts, against the typical rent. About $271 of the first mortgage payment is principal, which you keep as equity.

The median household income in Surprise is $96,711 (Census ACS 2020–2024). Owning the typical home would take 35% of it; renting would take 24%.

As a check with a larger rental, HUD's FY2027 Fair Market Rent for a three-bedroom home in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ MSA area is $2,287 a month, still $527 below the cost of owning.

  • Mortgage principal & interest $2,221
  • Property tax $147
  • Home insurance $100
  • Maintenance $347

How long you would need to stay.

Net worth of a buyer compared with a renter who invests the down payment, closing costs and any monthly savings at 6% a year. Home values and rents grow 3.5% a year; selling costs 6%.

Change the assumptions

Buying vs. renting in Surprise, by years in the home
StayResult
3 yearsRenting ahead by $34,891
5 yearsRenting ahead by $31,365
7 yearsRenting ahead by $26,044
10 yearsRenting ahead by $13,945
15 yearsBuying ahead by $20,769
20 yearsBuying ahead by $81,287
30 yearsBuying ahead by $333,213

Rent or buy elsewhere in Arizona.

Other large Arizona cities in the study.

All cities
PhoenixRenting $1,178/mo cheaperTucsonRenting $841/mo cheaperMesaRenting $1,354/mo cheaperGilbertRenting $1,722/mo cheaperChandlerRenting $1,603/mo cheaperGlendaleRenting $1,212/mo cheaperScottsdaleRenting $3,491/mo cheaperPeoriaRenting $1,382/mo cheaper

More on Surprise

See the full Surprise rental market profile with Census medians, or check how a typical rental performs for an investor in our cash-flow ranking.

How we calculated this

Price is the Zillow Home Value Index and rent the Zillow Observed Rent Index for Surprise. The cost of owning includes principal and interest at 7.03% with 20% down, property tax at the city's 0.42% effective rate (Census ACS), the Arizona average homeowners premium (NAIC 2023) and 1% yearly maintenance. It leaves out income-tax effects, HOA dues and utilities. The typical rental may be smaller than the typical home for sale. Full methodology. This is a citywide estimate, not advice about a specific home.